Byron Buxton (R)
MIN vs
CLE· Progressive Field2026-07-20
HR Score
67.4
Rank #12 of 268
Model HR%
23.8%
probability this game
Fair odds
+320
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
HP umpire
100
Lineup spot
100
Batter power
88
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Tanner Bibee
RHP · 1.51 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.