Luis Torrens (R)
NYM vs
BOS· Citi Field2026-07-10
HR Score
33.9
Rank #341 of 381
Model HR%
6.3%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1496
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
62
Starter vulnerability
52
HP umpire
50
Catcher framing
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sonny Gray
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.