Alex Bregman (R)
CHC vs
CIN· Great American Ball Park2026-07-10
HR Score
44.0
Rank #164 of 377
Model HR%
9.7%
probability this game
Fair odds
+934
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
94
Park factor
91
Weather
67
Lineup spot
51
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Hunter Greene
RHP · 2.70 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
116
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.