Trea Turner (R)
PHI vs
DET· Comerica Park2026-07-10
HR Score
37.2
Rank #291 of 377
Model HR%
7.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1296
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
52
Starter vulnerability
52
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Jack Flaherty
RHP · 0.94 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
97
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.