Garrett Stubbs (L)
PHI vs
DET· Comerica Park2026-07-10
HR Score
37.7
Rank #284 of 381
Model HR%
7.3%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1267
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
61
Weather
52
Starter vulnerability
52
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Jack Flaherty
RHP · 0.94 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
97
neutral
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.